Cross Country Checkup

Halfway into the election campaign has anything changed your mind?

Federal election: Halfway into one of the longest campaigns in federal history, have you been watching? With so many issues in play, what is important to you?
CBC News examined what each of the three main political party leaders talked about in the first month of the campaign, in speeches and press conferences, to compare what issues came up often and those that did not. (CBC)

The federal election: Halfway into one of the longest campaigns in history, have you been paying attention?
With so many issues in play, and a steady stream of news events, what is important to you? On what will you base your decision?


 GUESTS & LINKS

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INTRODUCTION

We're in the mid point of the marathon campaign.  The polls continue to show - though shifting daily within certain small ranges - something of an even race.  It is a highly energized campaign in all camps.  We may assume the various strategists are trying to find some "sweet spot" that will give them a definite edge.  This week's three interviews with the leaders provided - if you will - their personal audition tapes:  the variances of style, personalities and policy that each of them brings to this campaign.
 
The Syrian refugee crisis introduced a genuinely new theme - after the month and more of the Duffy trial, which trial itself  has functioned as something of a 'surrogate' campaign putting the government on the defensive.  The refugee crisis marked a deep shift to the international plane - reawakening, by implication, the debates over C51 - the anti terrorism legislation.  There has also been a rash of awkward statements or social media outbursts from individual candidates … for a few days there it seemed all three main parties were dropping, disowning or defended candidates - or workers - the NDP strategist who "dammed" the Pope  is one.  There were enough to these to go around and the fallout being spread out offered no lever for one party, but black eyes for all.
 
The campaign is seriously on now.  The Liberals have recallibrated - their positions on certain issues - I e the deficit have changed.  The NDP are perhaps not as assured as they may have been at the beginning of the campaign … Mulcair's NDP are still historically in a place to which they have not been accustommed;  the but feeling that they were out past the Liberals - and things would stay that way has vanished.  Mr. Harper  and the Tories must be recallibrating too.  His interview this week had an interesting air of resignation - more calm than persuasive energy, but there are signals that mood may have passed and the Conservatives may change their approach for the rest of it.
 
Much has been covered, but there remains much more. The economy while always a concern hasn't been the full highlight it should be.  The fall of the oil industry, the layoffs and stalled protects out West and elsewhere probably means that the economy will claim more of a detailed share of time from the parties.  The refugee question will also, likely, have shifts and spikes as the great migration currently underway supplied new stories, and as Canadians try to determined which party has  - overall - the truly best approach to it

Where are we now?  What issues to far have really taken your attention?  What moments of the campaign stand out.  How do you see the leaders performance so far?  What will it take for either party to break out of the rolling tie they are in?
 
Is this Stephen Harper's last stand?  Can the NDP rise, for the first time, to government?  Can Justin Trudeau take the Liberals back to government.  There is much drama - both on the issues - and on the personalities - in this campaign. Making, for once, the cliché  'most important campaign ever' a genuine and true observation.
 
The campaign, your thoughts.

I'm Rex Murphy  ...on CBC Radio One ...and on Sirius XM, satellite radio channel 169 ...this is Cross Country Checkup.


GUESTS

Raj Ahluwalia
Senior Producer at CBC's Election Unit
Twitter: @rajahluwalia

John Geddes
Ottawa Bureau Chief Macleans Magazine
Twitter: @Geddes28

Darrell Bricker
CEO Ipsos Public Affairs, Co-author of The Big Shift: The Seismic Change In Canadian Politics, Business, And Culture And What It Means For Our Future
Twitter: @darrellbricker

Janice MacKinnon
Former Finance Minister of Saskatchewan, Professor of History and Public Policy at the University of Saskatchewan
Bio (pdf)


LINKS

CBC.ca


National Post


Globe and Mail


Maclean's


Winnipeg Free Press


TWITTER & EMAIL